Let’s be honest—very few bettors will be heading into Open Championship week with their sights set solely on Daniel Berger, Curtis Luck, or Tom McKibbin as their picks to hoist the Claret Jug at Royal Portrush. These players are undeniably talented, but they haven’t been lighting up leaderboards in quite the same way as the Scottie Schefflers, Rory McIlroys, or even the newly resurgent Brian Campbells and Ben Griffins of the world. Still, when it comes to The Open—where weather can humble the best ball-strikers and the draw can change everything—longshots have a real chance to shine.
If you’re looking to go beyond the obvious favorites and place a smart, sneaky bet that could pay off in a big way, we’ve assembled a list of contenders who are far from crazy picks. These aren’t just random dart throws—they’re players with the game, grit, and recent form to make some noise at Portrush.
1. Jason Day
Odds: +10,000 (~100/1)
Why It Works: One of the most surprising values on the board. Day finished runner-up at last year’s Open and still has elite touch with the putter when he’s on. Proven in the wind, on the links, and with major victory experience to boot. High upside if he catches fire. We’d love to see him contend
2. Rasmus Højgaard
Odds: +12,500
Why It Works: Not to be confused with identical twin Nicolai, Rasmus is a young gun with plenty of power and recent form. Has five DP World Tour victories, including the Amgen Irish Open in ’24. Currently sits 7th in Ryder Cup points to make the European team.
3. Ryan Fox
Odds: +10,000
Why It Works: One of the most underappreciated players in links conditions. With two PGA Tour wins in 2025 and a track record of grinding through bad weather, Fox is a rock-solid sleeper with real win equity.
4. Justin Rose
Odds: +10,000
Why It Works: Rosey finished 2nd at the Masters this year, and T-2 in the Open Championship last year. We feel he still has a major championship victory in him and would love to see him hoist the Claret Jug a week from this upcoming Sunday.
5. Captain Keegan Bradley
Odds: +10,000
Why It Works: Bradley has been sharp of late and emotionally charged all season, especially while winning the Travelers a few weeks ago. Sure, he’s volatile, a trait not always conducive to winning in Open Championship conditions, but don’t bet against his Ryder Cup-like mentality, especially this year.